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The Real Estate Informer

Email
Bernard@BernardGibbons.com

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(925) 648-5354

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June 2005


NAR Economist Optimistic on Real Estate Market

RISMEDIA, June 6 – (KRT) – The housing market is not a bubble waiting to burst, but a full balloon that will gradually leak air, a top economist stated on Friday.

“I believe we have more oomph in real estate for the remaining years of this decade,” said David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, “but”, he added: “At some point, the air will come out, and you may end up with 4 percent annual price appreciation.”

The demand for houses has boomed nationwide, and prices have particularly accelerated in highly populated coastal areas such as California and New Jersey, raising fears of a bubble in some markets. In some areas, prices of existing single-family homes rose 18 percent from the first quarter of 2004 to the first quarter of 2005. Prices in these areas have more than doubled since 1999.

Lereah predicts that house sales will hit record or near-record levels this year, with sales of existing homes of 6.7 million and new homes of 1.2 million. He expects prices to rise about 9 percent nationally. The boom is caused partly by historically low mortgage rates, below 6 percent for a 30-year loan.

Observers predict that if mortgage rates rise, many buyers will be priced out of the market, and lower demand will push down housing prices. Lereah predicts mortgage rates to rise to about 6.5 percent next year -- still cheap by historic standards.

But Lereah said there's more to housing demand than cheap mortgage money. The main cause is that the giant baby-boom generation, born between 1946 and 1964, is now in its peak earning years, with plenty of money to spend on mansions and second homes. In fact, second homes accounted for 36 percent of home sales last year, Lereah said.

Immigrants are also buying houses, although it typically takes them awhile after moving to the United States. And the baby boomers' children -- another large generation -- are starting to buy their first homes.

In addition, Lereah said, buying a house has become a lot easier, thanks to new types of mortgages and technology that allows for faster loan approvals.


 

Restaurant Review

 

Mudd’s Restaurant, 10 Boardwalk, San Ramon, CA 94583

I’m surprised to note that I have not previously written a review of Mudd’s, undoubtedly one of the top restaurants in San Ramon and one of my personal favorites.

Mudd’s is a San Ramon landmark. Established originally in 1978 it comprises a number of interesting and attractive buildings set in large attractive gardens cultivated with flowers, herbs and vegetables where diners are invited to walk between courses.

The main building is divided into a number of separate dining rooms and a small bar area and wherever you are seated, the feeling is one of intimacy. The curved cedar ceilings are particularly noteworthy and to me at least, evoke a nautical flavor. There are also a number of outdoor dining areas abutting the gardens, extremely popular on warm summer evenings. Mudd’s is also a popular venue for weddings and other gatherings when it brings the banqueting room into play.

The food is consistently outstanding and the menu changes with the seasons. Last time we dined here, a couple of weeks ago, we shared a portion of fried calamari to start then Sylvia had a lamb curry for her main course that was out of this world ($19.95). Not an Indian curry, rather a curry with Caribbean influences garnished with papaya, banana and coconut. I had a smoked prime rib ($27.95) that was as tender as one could wish for and with a wonderful flavor and not over-smoked which I find is often the case. The calamari was also excellent with no trace of the “chewiness” that is sometimes present in this dish.. On a previous occasion I had the pan roasted mahi-mahi ($24.95), one of my favorite fish dishes that turned out to be yet another excellent choice..

Prices are what would probably be called “middle of the road” these days. Main courses range from $17 to $35 at Dinner although they also do a brisk lunchtime trade where main course prices are around $10-20. They also have an excellent wine list with many interesting selections. I chose a 2003 Watt’s Reserve Chardonnay at $28. This is from Lodi and less full bodied than many Napa wines but really an excellent wine.

Mudd’s is well signposted off Crow Canyon Road not far from the junction with Bollinger Canyon Road. If you want to enjoy an outstanding meal in a unique setting, give it a try. Booking is definitely advised at the weekend.

Check out their excellent web site at www.muddsrestaurant.com

Reviews such as the one above are included as a service to introduce people to interesting restaurants in the San Ramon Valley. They should not be taken as any form of recommendation. We have no connection with any restaurateurs in the area and all opinions expressed are strictly those of the writer.

 


 

Homes Currently Offered For Sale on the Contra Costa MLS as of June 6th, 2005

(Figures in parentheses show the numbers at the beginning of last month)

 

 

City

# of Homes

Price From

Price To

Alamo

46 (36)

$749,000

$3,800,000

Blackhawk

 40 (32)

$949,999

$10,999,000

Danville

93 (76)

$469,000

$5,200,000

Diablo

14 (13)

$2,395,000

$6,900,000

San Ramon

83 (62)

$399,000

$2,980,000

Walnut Creek

92 (67)

$250,000

$2,965,000

 

 

 


LISTING ALERTS: Click here to get details of all new listings that could interest you sent from the Contra Costa / Alameda Multiple Listing Service direct to your email in-box


 

San Ramon Valley Market Update

Information To Help You Understand The Value Of Your Biggest Investment

Most Recently Closed Sales In Alamo, Blackhawk, Danville , San Ramon and Walnut Creek

(Sorted By City and Sale Price)

Address

City

Cross Street

BR

Bth

½ Bth

SqFt

Lot SF

List Price

Sold Price

DOM

1285  Danville Blvd

Alamo

La Serena

4

3

0

2700

20328

$1,375,000

$1,250,000

7

39  Tracy Court

Alamo

Roundhill Rd

5

5

0

3720

15000

$1,559,000

$1,587,000

6

27  Squire Ct.

Alamo

Royal Oaks

3

3

1

3200

30000

$1,600,000

$1,600,000

12

250  St Paul Dr

Alamo

Stone Valley

5

3

0

3174

20010

$1,599,000

$1,650,000

5

20  Meadow Grove Court

Alamo

Royal Oaks

5

3

1

3346

22922

$1,695,000

$1,805,000

3

17  Oakridge Ln

Blackhawk

Blackhawk Rd

2

2

1

2259

13600

$899,950

$1,025,000

15

3556  Deer Crest Dr

Blackhawk

Deerfield

4

3

0

3635

7260

$1,469,000

$1,375,000

40

3680  Deer Trail Dr

Blackhawk

Blackhawk Dr

4

3

0

3138

7150

$1,399,000

$1,375,000

15

3236  Blackhawk Meadow Dr

Blackhawk

Quail Run Dr

3

2

0

2871

9000

$1,499,000

$1,499,000

0

95  Red Fir Ct

Blackhawk

B’khawk Club

4

3

1

3912

15000

$1,939,000

$1,870,000

10

3177  Blackhawk Meadow Dr

Blackhawk

Blackhawk Dr

4

3

2

4509

23040

$2,499,000

$2,462,000

6

127  Lawnview Cir

Danville

Greenbrook

3

2

1

1542

1564

$649,950

$640,000

12

2133  Presidio Court

Danville

Silverlake

3

2

0

1553

1553

$669,950

$650,000

8

226  Abigail Cir

Danville

Maison

4

2

1

2396

4000

$799,950

$799,950

5

206  Cameo Dr

Danville

Green Valley

4

2

0

2000

10080

$899,950

$875,000

14

420  Antelope Ridge Way

Danville

Jasmin

4

3

0

2314

5500

$959,950

$960,000

4

553  La Gonda Way

Danville

El Cerro

3