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Real Estate Informer

Real Estate News of the San Ramon Valley and Lamorinda

from Bernard Gibbons of Intero Real Estate Services

 

February 2006

 

 

925-997-1585 – Direct                    Bernard@BernardGibbons.com

 

Where Is The East Bay Real Estate Market Headed In 2006?

The volume of home sales in the nine-county Bay Area declined significantly on a year-over-year basis in December as prices eased back from their November peak, a real estate information service recently reported.

Does this mean we are entering a slump in real estate prices? Is the bubble about to burst?

Probably not” say most of the economists. There is really no evidence of a “bubble”. This is just an idea that has been talked up by the press who seem to only want to report on bad news. Nevertheless, the market is definitely changing.

"Demand still seems to be there, but the sense of urgency seems to be a thing of the past. We don't expect the market to tumble, but we do expect price increases to level off between now and spring" says Marshall Prentice, president of DataQuick, a company that monitors real estate activity nationwide.

Certainly there is strong evidence of lack of urgency. At the time of writing, 75 sales have been agreed in the Alamo, Danville, San Ramon area year to date. This compares with 102 for the same period last year. And there were far fewer homes for sale then!

We are experiencing a return to a more balanced market, in line with our expectations, although unsold inventory is still near historical lows, with a 3.6 month supply of homes for sale” says C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Time on the market also is nearly unchanged at 44 days in December compared with 40 days for the same period last year

So certainly the market has slowed down. From discussions with buyers and other agents, there is a strong feeling that prices in many, although not all, cases are too high. Quite a few people believe that many homes sold in the second and third quarters of 2005 were sold for more than they were worth so they are reluctant to buy based on these comparables. Many sellers are unwilling to accept that premise so they are offering their homes for sale at prices that are unrealistic. This would certainly explain why fewer sales are being agreed.

February 5th is Superbowl Sunday. This is a day that many believe represents the start of the peak time for home sales in our area. By this time next month, with a few weeks “normal” real estate activity, we will undoubtedly have very strong indications as to the future of the real estate market in 2006.

 


 FREE Home Valuation

Thinking of selling? Home prices have increased at a phenomenal rate over the past few years. To get a Free Up-To-Date Valuation of your home without any obligation, together with suggestions for what you can do to maximize its appeal, visit www.BernardGibbons.com or for an immediate response call Bernard Gibbons on (925) 997-1585.

 


Restaurant Review

The Pleasanton Hotel, 855 Main Street, Pleasanton

Billed as the only hotel in town without any rooms, the Pleasanton Hotel is a local landmark with a restaurant that just keeps getting better. Built in 1864, then rebuilt in 1898 after a fire, this historic building is an outstanding example of Victorian architecture, inside and out.

      The current owners, Bill and Vernie Laube, have been there since 1983 and for many years have offered a lot more than just good food. A glance at their calendar for January, which can be found on their web site at www.PleasantonHotel.com, shows a Champagne buffet-brunch every Sunday, live music, Dinner Theater and a cooking class.

      Even without all this, most of the hotel patrons would just go for the food. Executive Chef, Neil Marquis, creates appealing and inventive menus that just keep people coming back.

      Sylvia and I called in for dinner recently on a Wednesday evening and the restaurant was about three-quarters full. This is a very traditional formal Victorian dining room with white table cloths. The service is first-class – attentive but not too much so. We were presented with a complementary bruschetta appetizer to enjoy while we perused the menu.

      Despite a tempting array of appetizers (including some imaginative salads), we went straight to the main course. Sylvia had baked Pacific halibut with a citrus herb crust and I chose English sole stuffed with Dungeness crab and artichokes. This was served in a lobster sauce with rice pilaf and grilled asparagus. Both dishes were excellent. Fish dishes are a specialty of the house but they also have plenty of non-fish dishes including a selection of steaks, meatloaf, chicken Dijon and a slow-braised lamb shank. It took a while for us to make our decisions!

      Neither of us are great dessert lovers so we passed on that course although again, the selection was good including Grand Marnier crème brulee, chocolate decadence and lemon meringue pie. We had an excellent bottle of Wente Riva Ranch Chardonnay though (well priced at $29.00).

      The Pleasanton Hotel is not a budget restaurant but neither is it overly expensive. Main courses run from $15 to $29 and they even have a full 3 course dinner made up of selections from the regular menu for only $28.95.

      Apart from the restaurant, there is a large saloon style bar and in better weather, a large garden area where dinner can also be enjoyed. It is a great place to visit and enjoy the ambience of a traditional Victorian restaurant with modern California cuisine without breaking the bank. 

Reviews such as the one above are included as a service to introduce people to interesting restaurants in the San Ramon Valley. They should not be taken as any form of recommendation. We have no connection with any restaurateurs in the area and all opinions expressed are strictly those of the writer.

 


 JUST LISTED FOR SALE

Totally Renovated & Remodeled Rural Retreat on Almost 1/3 Acre

4334 Cowell Road, Concord

Offered For Sale at $650,000

This 3 bed, 1½ bath ranch style home has been transformed into a designer home with new stylish kitchen and bathrooms, slate tile floors, paneled doors, inset lighting, dual-pane windows and HVAC system and much, much more.

Situated at the end of a private lane set well back from Cowell Road, the huge lot offers considerable scope for expansion (subject to any necessary approval). For more details or to arrange a private viewing, call Bernard Gibbons on (925) 997-1585 or send an email to Bernard@BernardGibbons.com

 


If You Had Bought A Home “Back Then”…

Are you trying to make up your mind whether to "move up" to a bigger home or purchase a second one (maybe a vacation home)? ...but it's too darned expensive?

What's the price of the home you want to buy? $500,000? $700,000? $1,000,000?

If you had bought that $700,000 home ten years ago, national averages say it would have cost you around $392,000. Locally, most markets have experienced much more price growth. In 1994, today's $1,000,000 home would have cost about $560,000. That's because the national median sales price ten years ago was 56% of today's price.

Mortgage rates are still very attractive. Once you buy a house, your payment remains stable. If you get a fixed rate loan the payment will remain exactly the same throughout your mortgage.

Based on historical appreciation, it makes little sense to postpone a home purchase. Even though your present home continues to increase in value, so does the difference in price between that and your next home. So the longer you wait, the harder it gets to move.

No one can predict the future, but since 1968, houses averaged an appreciation rate of 6.34% a year.

That doesn't sound like much? If you buy a $250,000 house today, no one can tell you what it will be worth a year from now or five years from now but based on 6.34% annual appreciation, a home kept in good condition in a solid location could be worth $1.5 million 30 years from now.

That's not a promise, though. One should consult with a qualified mortgage professional prior to implementing any mortgage strategies. ■

If you want to explore the various financing options for a first or second home, send me an email to Bernard@BernardGibbons.com or call me on (925) 997-1585. I will introduce you to a mortgage specialist who will show you what options are open to you.

 


Thinking About Moving? – Get This FREE e-Book

Before you put your home on the market, get a copy of my FREE e-Book, “450 Ideas To Help Your Home Sell FASTER”. This is no lightweight brochure – 52 pages of useful information on preparing your home for sale.

For your FREE copy, point your web browser to www.BernardGibbons.com and click on the “FREE Home Preparation e-Book” link or just send an email to Bernard@BernardGibbons.com and I’ll send you a copy by return.

 

 


 

LISTING ALERTS: Click here to get details of all new listings that could interest you sent from the Contra Costa / Alameda Multiple Listing Service direct to your email in-box



San Ramon Valley Market Update

Information To Help You Understand The Value Of Your Biggest Investment

The 40 most recently Closed Sales in Alamo, Blackhawk, Danville, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Lafayette, Moraga and Orinda

(Sorted By City and Price)

Address

City

Cross Street

BR

Bth

½ Bth

SqFt

Lot Sq Ft

Sold Price

DOM

142  Smith Rd

Alamo

Stone Valley

2

2

0

9999

109771

$1,925,000

9

3013  Golden Meadow Dr

Alamo

Green Valley

5

3

1

3964

18990

$1,930,000

39

141  Dean Rd

Alamo

Marks

2

1

0

1311

139827

$2,000,000

7

2132  Stone Valley Rd.

Alamo

Miranda

5

8

1

5802

37462

$2,225,000

35

464  Sycamore Circle

Danville

Camino Ramon

3

1

1

1344

912

$499,000

4

430  Old Orchard Court

Danville

Old Orchard

2

2

1

1166

1000

$539,900

7

274  Ashley Cir

Danville

Hartley

3

2

1

1292

0

$570,000

67

2000  Camino Ramon Pl

Danville

Camino Ramon

4

2

1

2263

2409

$751,000

36

44  Summer Hill Ct

Danville

Fountain Springs

3

2

1

1862

2880

$842,500

25

459  El Rio Road

Danville

El Pintado

3

2

0

1659

19176

$850,000

20

414  Stoneybrook Ct

Danville

-

5

3

0

3355

6900

$999,900

20

3398  La Caminita

Lafayette

Reliez Valley Rd

3

2

0

1752

11830

$880,000

2

3793  Mosswood Dr

Lafayette

Village Center

3

2

0

1300

9990

$915,000

11

3098  Withers Ave

Lafayette

Taylor Or Ph Rd

4

2

0

3000

23520

$1,215,000

9

1986  Ascot Drive

Moraga