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Visit www.BernardGibbons.com for the Latest Listings and Real Estate Information

 

 

Market Update – November 2006

Which Way Is The Market Moving?

It’s been a tough year for home sellers as we have experienced a real estate market correction following years of unparalleled increases in home prices. And correction it was, rather than a bubble bursting as was predicted by much of the national press. Hopefully, the worst is past, although we won’t know for sure until we get into 2007.

There are two things that should be uppermost in the minds of people who want to sell their home. First is how quickly they can expect to achieve a sale and secondly, what will be the sale price.

The length of time a home takes to sell, assuming it is marketed correctly, is very much related to the number of homes on the market. There is some good news here at last. Look at the following table:

Numbers of Homes Listed For Sale on Contra Costa MLS (Single Family and Condominiums)

START OF

YEAR

San Ramon

Danville

Blackhawk

Alamo

Walnut Creek

Lafayette

Moraga

Orinda

TOTAL

August

2006

420

250

54

91

330

94

48

57

1344

September

2006

440

270

57

85

311

96

47

56

1362

October

2006

442

268

59

87

336

88

42

59

1381

November

2006

385

256

60

80

314

90

34

54

1273

Since the beginning of November, the total has reduced further to 1,234 at November 10th so this looks like a promising trend.

Now on to price. Let us consider the average sales price of a 4 bedroom single family home from 2,000 to 3,000 square feet, with a 2 car garage.

Average home sales prices - Single Family Homes

San Ramon, Danville, Blackhawk, Alamo, Walnut Creek, Lafayette, Moraga, Orinda

 

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

$,000 Sale Price 2006

1,043

1,154

1,073

1,134

1,095

1,144

1,140

1,027

1,023

1,008

1,054

So as we can see, the average home price fell from a peak of $1,154,000 in February to $1,008,000 in October - a drop of over 12%. November’s figures, shown here in the shaded cells, represent slightly less than one half-month of sales figures but obviously the signs are very encouraging. This is exactly the kind of pattern we expect to see at some point but it is a little early to confidently say that the downward trend has been halted.

So how does it look for home sellers?

With reducing levels of inventory and (hopefully) a market decline that is starting to reverse, it is probably a better time to list your home for sale than any other time over the past few months. If you are moving to a higher priced home then this is a good time to sell and buy. If you are down-sizing, you may want to wait a little longer.

What about buyers?

Well there is still plenty of choice out there but if you believe that the November figure above is a true indicator, then average home sales prices have now bottomed out. If you are in a position to buy and you can find a home that meets your needs, buy now.

The above information is all based on figures provided by the Contra Costa / Alameda MAX Multiple Listing Service. Opinions and conclusions drawn are those of Bernard Gibbons.

If you are considering selling a home and/or you would like to get an opinion of your home’s value, contact me anytime without obligation. I will happily prepare a Comparative Market Analysis for you. I can be reached on (925) 997-1585 or by email at bernard@bernardgibbons.com

 


 What’s Your Home Worth?

Thinking of selling? Home prices have increased at a phenomenal rate over the past few years. To get a Free Up-To-Date Valuation of your home without any obligation, together with suggestions for what you can do to maximize its appeal, visit www.BernardGibbons.com or for an immediate response call Bernard Gibbons on (925) 997-1585.

 


Restaurant Review

Le Bistro, 1606 N. Main Street, Walnut Creek

Le Bistro is one of a very small number of French restaurants in the East Bay and this was our first visit. It is a small, individual, restaurant owned and operated by chef Jean-Paul Peluffo and his wife Kathleen. My first impression on entering was that It seemed somewhat lacking in ambience (not really very much of a French feel) although I was pleased to see an open kitchen. And the staff appeared professional and were obviously kept fully occupied.

Sylvia and I booked in for a Friday evening and reservations are essential at the weekend. It was full. For a starter, we shared a plate of French pâtés, two different pâtés served with thinly sliced crusty bread with a salad garnish and a small bowl of gherkins. Chef Jean-Paul makes his own pâtés and they are absolutely exceptional. We were very impressed.

For a main course, Sylvia ordered the duckling in orange sauce and I had a butcher’s steak with a Cabernet sauce reduction. Sylvia’s dish was a huge disappointment as the duckling was obviously undercooked and extremely tough. My steak was good (although not particularly outstanding) but the sauce was very intense (almost like a molé, which is great in the right place but not in a French restaurant in my opinion).

We accompanied our meal with a pleasant enough French Chardonnay and finished with an excellent warm apple tart which we shared.

On reflection, I would suggest taking your own wine here. They do charge corkage but the wine list is very small and has few wines that would be familiar to most diners. It also struck me as a little on the expensive side.

I had been looking forward to dining at Le Bistro for some time. It does get good reviews and French restaurants are few and far between in the East Bay. Unfortunately, we were rather disappointed with our experience. This is certainly not an inexpensive restaurant and our waiter was disinterested in the fact that Sylvia had a problem with her duckling until she eventually made an issue of it. He then consulted with the chef and they removed it from the bill.

For more information about Le Bistro, visit www.lebistro.fr.

Reviews such as the one above are included as a service to introduce people to interesting restaurants in the San Ramon Valley. We have no connection with any restaurateurs in the area and all opinions expressed are strictly those of the writer.

You can read more restaurant reviews in the Newsletter Archives at www.BernardGibbons.com


How Will You Decide Who Will List YOUR Home For Sale?

 

As housing inventory increases and interest rates continue to rise, it is more important than ever to work with a Realtor® who has the knowledge and experience to market your home to its fullest potential in order to obtain the best price for your home.

 

My High Impact Home Marketing Program is the most comprehensive home marketing system in real estate. This, combined with my affiliation with Alain Pinel Realtors, the most prestigious real estate company in the Bay Area, ensures that your home gets the maximum level of exposure from start to finish. Through multiple channels and networks I market your home every day to potential homebuyers and real estate agents who represent buyers in your area. This targeted marketing approach ensures maximum exposure to potential buyers.

 

Communication is absolutely critical. I will keep you fully informed regarding the status of your home sale at all times and do everything in my power to ensure a smooth, stress-free transaction. Call me any time for a confidential discussion without any obligation - (925) 997-1585.

                                                                        Bernard Gibbons

 

 


What Happened To Real Estate?

Have you seen all the stories on the real estate market recently? Not sure what to believe? Well, the authority on California real estate, the California Association of Realtors (CAR) says that 2006 marked a turning point in the California housing market.

After four successive years of new records for both statewide sales and the median price, the existing home market declined sharply in 2006, while the pace of price appreciation slowed with each passing month. So yes, there has been a slowdown statewide taking us into more of a normalized real estate market.

According to CAR chief economist Dr. Robert A. Kleinhenz , the general economy appears likely to expand slightly in 2007 rather than tip into recession. The Fed has held steady with the federal funds rate, attempting to strike a balance between curbing inflation and moving the economy forward. It is unlikely that the Fed will cut rates over the next few months.

The good news is that Northern California, particularly the Bay Area has been called out as an area that will outpace the general economy, with Silicon Valley and high technology being our vanguard.

If you are thinking about making a real estate move in the foreseeable future, particularly if you are planning to buy a larger home and stay in the Bay Area, you may be well advised to do so sooner, while interest rates are still low, rather than later. When you are buying and selling in the same market, you should  also focus on the price difference rather than the dollar value of homes. And remember that when home prices start to rise again next year, the price difference will increase.

If you list your home for sale now, it may take longer to sell than it would have a year or so ago, but once you have agreed a sale, you are in a very strong position. There is a wide selection of homes for sale in most areas and sellers are willing to make a deal. You could find a bargain in today’s real estate market!

Regardless of short-term fluctuations, California real estate over the long-term has been a very sound investment. CAR reports that since 2002, the median price of a home in California has increased by 16.5% each year, and that percentage is significantly higher in pockets around the Bay Area.

If you want to get your home sold and focus on making your next move, call Bernard Gibbons on (925) 997-1585 for a confidential discussion.

 


Thinking Of Selling Your Home? - Plan Now For Early 2007

If you have been thinking about selling your home but are hesitant due to the number of homes on the market, there may be good news on the horizon. As I write this newsletter in early November, inventory levels have dropped significantly and are likely to continue doing so as we approach the end of the year owing to many sellers taking their homes off the market through the Holidays. One result of this is that we should enter 2007 with much reduced inventory levels.

If I was planning to sell my home next year, I would want to get it on the market in January or February. Quite apart from having less competition, interest rates should still be low and there will likely be a greater feeling of optimism as we enter a new year. Buying activity is almost always at its highest in the first 4 months of every year.

If you plan to sell soon, call me now on (925) 997-1585 so I can make any suggestions for improvements you may want to consider to maximize your selling price and for a Comparative Market Analysis.

 


FOR SALE

2517 Aranda Drive, San Ramon

 

The Very Best of Twin Creeks South

Rarely does a home such as this come on the market for less than $1 million. Completed updated and tastefully remodeled over the past few years, this is undoubtedly one of the nicest homes in Twin Creeks in one of the neighborhood’s most desirable locations. Every room has been updated and every piece of interior trim has been replaced together with all of the doors, windows, electrical  fixtures, floor coverings and much more.

Offered for Sale at $969,950

Call Bernard Gibbons at (925) 997-1585 for more details or visit http://www.2517ArandaDrive.com

 

 


LISTING ALERTS: Click here to get details of all new listings that could interest you sent from the Contra Costa / Alameda Multiple Listing Service direct to your email in-box


 

Making The Most Of My Services

Please don’t think that the only time to contact me is when you are thinking of buying or selling your home. I can be of considerable help to you in almost anything that is remotely real estate related:

*        If you are thinking about buying or selling  investment property, commercial premises or a vacation home (including time shares), either inside or outside California, even overseas, I can provide you with a referral to a local qualified, experienced agent. The same applies to any of your friends, relations and business colleagues.

*        If you just want to get an idea of the present value of your home, whether or not you are planning to sell it soon, I can provide you with the information you need.

*        If you are planning to carry out some maintenance or improvements on your home, I can refer you to a professional who is either known to me or has been recommended to me as a reliable person who provides good value for money. Everything from architects and general contractors to gardeners and odd-job men.

*        I am also very happy to provide you with input regarding any improvements that are worth making to your home before listing it for sale so that when the time comes, your home will sell quickly and for the best price.

Call me any time on (925) 997-1585 or send an email to Bernard@BernardGibbons.com. I am always happy to hear from you!

 


San Ramon Valley Market Update

Information To Help You Understand The Value Of Your Biggest Investment

The 40 most recently Closed Sales in Alamo, Blackhawk, Danville, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Lafayette, Moraga and Orinda

(Sorted By City and Sold Price)

Address

City

Beds

Baths

Part
Baths

SqFt

Lot Sq Ft

List Price

Sold Price

3154  Miranda Ave

Alamo

4

2

1

2707

20760

$1,375,000

$1,325,000

135  Wilson Rd

Alamo

4

3

1

3112

20259

$1,499,000

$1,450,000

41  Via Lucia S Ln

Alamo

3

2

1

2978

17600

$1,595,000

$1,550,000

3315  Quail Walk Lane

Blackhawk

4

3

0

2964

6700

$1,349,000

$1,327,000

137  Midland Way

Danville

2

2

0

1006

1632

$439,000

$430,000

1946  St George Rd

Danville

2